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Spokane, WA | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Retail

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Retail Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Retail Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Retail Market to Watch: Spokane, WA

Spokane - Top Retail Market to WatchThe economy of Spokane is attempting to recreate itself from a natural products producer to a more high tech and business-focused cluster but, so far, the results remain mixed. Unemployment has grown recently to 7.7% in January ‘16 but new job creation is occurring at a 1.7% annualized rate, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Top sectors adding jobs include Information, Professional and Business Services, and Educational and Health Services, which are growing at annualized rates of 13.8%, 6.3%, and 3.6%, respectively. Population grew 4.2% from 2010 to 2015, according the Census Bureau, which means that overall demand for retail could grow. Still, sustained reductions in unemployment will need to be seen for significant growth to occur. As the tech industry grows, this is possible.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top retail markets, download the full version of the 2016 Retail Market Outlook report here.

2016 Retail Market Outlook

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San Francisco, CA | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Office

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Office Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Office Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Office Market to Watch: San Francisco, CA

San Francisco - Top Office Market to WatchSan Francisco remains one of the hottest office markets in North America, led by booms in the tech industry that are seeking urban locations over sprawling campus sites. As such, the Bay Area has some of the highest rents and lowest vacancies and this trend is not forecast to reverse anytime soon. The overall economy is very healthy for the size of this metro, with unemployment at 3.9% as of January ‘16, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Office-using sectors are some of the fastest growing, with Professional and Business Services, Information, and Financial Activities growing at 5.4%, 4.8%, and 1.3% annualized rates, respectively. Affordability of office space, as well as overall cost of living and operating, are the biggest impediments to sustained growth; thus, expect the suburbs to grow and urbanize at increasing rates as well.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top office markets, download the full version of the 2016 Office Market Outlook report here.

2016 Office Market Outlook

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Tampa, FL | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Multifamily

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Multifamily Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Multifamily Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Multifamily Market to Watch: Tampa, FL

Tampa has recovered significantly after experiencing deep impacts from the recession and is now growing jobs at an annualized pace of 3.6% with an unemployment rate of 4.8% as of January ‘16, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Job growth also helped sustain population growth of 6.8% from 2010 to 2014, according to the Census Bureau. This growth has caused the multifamily sector in Tampa to expand with growing rents, falling occupancies, and lots of new supply. 2016 should bring approximately 5% rent growth with stable occupancy levels. The city is approximately 50% rental housing based and should demand more units as economic expansion continues. Top sectors for employment growth include Construction, Professional and Business Services, Leisure and Hospitality, and Financial Activities which have annualized growth rates of 7.1%, 7.1%, 6.6%, 3.4%, respectively.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top multifamily markets, download the full version of the 2016 Multifamily Market Outlook report here.

 

[bctt tweet=”Tampa, FL is one of 2016’s top multifamily #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

St. Louis, MO | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Industrial

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Industrial Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Industrial Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Industrial Market to Watch: St. Louis, MO

St. Louis - Top Industrial Markets to WatchThe St. Louis economy has experienced strong growth since the recession and now features a 5.2% unemployment rate as of January ‘16 with modest job growth of 1.2% annualized. The diverse economic base includes manufacturing of food and agricultural products that are relatively immune to cyclical forces and thus stabilize the St. Louis industrial space market. Still, the key industrial sector of Manufacturing is losing jobs at a 1.3% annualized pace while Trade, Transportation, and Utilities grows at a nearly flat rate of 0.3% annualized. Overall, the stable nature of the industries operating in St. Louis, many with corporate HQs, and its strong river, rail, and air linkages should allow its industrial market to remain healthy in 2016 and beyond.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top industrial markets, download the full version of the 2016 Industrial Market Outlook report here.

2016 Industrial Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”St. Louis, MO is one of 2016’s top industrial #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

San Francisco, CA | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Retail

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Retail Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Retail Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Retail Market to Watch: San Francisco, CA

San Francisco - Top Retail Market to WatchSan Francisco has been the iconic American boomtown for centuries and this trend continues today as technology firms have helped lead record job growth that has brought the unemployment rate down to 3.9% in January ‘16 as employment continues to grow at a 3.6% annualized rate, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. San Francisco is also a major port and tourist destination, thus the demand for retail real estate should grow strongly in 2016 and beyond. According to the Census Bureau, population has grown by 5.9% from 2010 to 2014, which is quite impressive given the limited land mass of the city and topography of the Bay Area. As rents and home prices rise, expect San Francisco retail real estate to continue gentrifying as well, causing rent spikes in many sub markets.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top retail markets, download the full version of the 2016 Retail Market Outlook report here.

2016 Retail Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”San Francisco, CA is one of 2016’s top retail #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

San Antonio, TX | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Office

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Office Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Office Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Office Market to Watch: San Antonio, TX

San Antonio, like many Texas metros, has experienced significant economic growth with minimal impacts from the past recession. Overall, total employment is at near record highs and unemployment sits at 3.7% as of January ‘16, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The metro’s diversified economic base from trade and manufacturing to research and finance has left the office market relatively healthy and poised to grow in 2016 and beyond. All key office sectors are growing, including Financial Activities, Professional and Business Services, and Information, at annualized rates of 2.1%, 2.0%, and 1.0%, respectively. San Antonio does have significant exposure to industries such as automobiles and energy that could come under pressure in continued global slowdowns, but overall the risk to the office market does not appear significant at this time.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top office markets, download the full version of the 2016 Office Market Outlook report here.

2016 Office Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”San Antonio, TX is one of 2016’s top office #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Seattle, WA | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Multifamily

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Multifamily Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Multifamily Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Multifamily Market to Watch: Seattle, WA

Seattle - Top Multifamily Market to WatchSeattle is one of the fastest growing cities on the West Coast, with a population that grew 9.8% from 2010 to 2014, according the Census Bureau. Job growth continues at an annualized pace of 3.0% while unemployment has been stable with the latest reading in January ‘16 of 5.6%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Seattle is an expensive city to live in and as such approximately 54% of the housing units are rentals, according to the Census Bureau. The need for ample housing is real and multifamily assets should perform well for 2016 and beyond. Rents are expected grow over 5% as new supply hits record highs to fill new demand. The best sectors for job creation include Information, Leisure and Hospitality, Trade, Transportation, and Utilities, and Financial Activities, which are growing at 8.1%, 5.0%, 4.2%, and 4.1% annualized rates, respectively.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top multifamily markets, download the full version of the 2016 Multifamily Market Outlook report here.

2016 Multifamily Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Seattle, WA is one of 2016’s top multifamily #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Seattle, WA | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Industrial

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Industrial Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Industrial Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Industrial Market to Watch: Seattle, WA

Seattle - Top Industrial Market to WatchSeattle has experienced significant job growth since the recession and continues to add jobs at an annualized rate of 3.0%, keeping unemployment stable at 5.6% as of January ‘16, according to the BLS. As Seattle hosts major West Coast ports, a major airport, and excellent rail linkages, trade and distribution activities dominate the industrial real estate market. Employment in the Trade, Transportation, and Utilities sector is growing at an annualized rate of 4.2%, making up for losses in the Manufacturing sector that is contracting at an annualized rate of –0.9%. Overall, the Puget Sound ports and infrastructure should drive robust demand for industrial real estate as more and more ship traffic is routed up north from congested Long Beach, California.

Advisor Insights: SVN | Raven

SVN’s Seattle-based Advisors at SVN | Raven have some industrial market highlights to share. Here’s what to look out for in the Seattle industrial market in 2016:

  • Tear down old outdated commercial space for new modern distribution centers
  • HUB/community space on outdated office/industrial flex
  • Owner-user acquisition buildings for assemblage for larger projects

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top industrial markets, download the full version of the 2016 Industrial Market Outlook report here.

2016 Industrial Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Seattle, WA is one of 2016’s top industrial #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Minneapolis, MN | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Office

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Office Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Office Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Office Market to Watch: Minneapolis, MN

Minneapolis - Top Office Market to WatchMinneapolis remains one of the strongest and most stable economies in the nation with 3.9% unemployment in January ‘16, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The metro area has steadily gained total employment while only experiencing a modest decline during the past recession. The key office-using sectors are fairly stable with modest growth as Financial Activities and Professional and Business Services gain jobs at 1.6% and 0.9% annualized rates, respectively, while Information remains mostly flat at –0.3%. Given that Minneapolis is repeatedly cited as a good place to do business, its office market is likely to maintain stability and grow in 2016 and beyond. Further, Minneapolis is experiencing a long-term trend of re-urbanization, meaning that the CBD is likely to perform well for the extended horizon.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top office markets, download the full version of the 2016 Office Market Outlook report here.

2016 Office Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Minneapolis, MN is one of 2016’s top office #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

San Jose, CA | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Multifamily

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Multifamily Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Multifamily Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Multifamily Market to Watch: San Jose, CA

San Jose - Top Multifamily Market to WatchSan Jose is one of the hottest cities in the Bay Area and thus has experienced very strong employment growth since 2011 which has brought the unemployment rate down to 3.9% as of January ‘16 while jobs are still being created at the robust pace of 3.8% annualized according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Population growth is also significant at 6.6% from 2010 to 2014 as people find this market relatively more affordable. The San Jose housing stock is traditionally owner oriented with only 43% used for rentals. Given the rate of regional growth, local multifamily assets are very well positioned to pick up demand from surrounding areas a well as localized growth. Rent growth is expected to exceed 5% with relatively low new supply in 2016. Top sectors in job creation include Construction, Information, and Professional and Business Services with annualized growth rates of 10.3%, 8.4%, and 6.8%, respectively.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top multifamily markets, download the full version of the 2016 Multifamily Market Outlook report here.

2016 Multifamily Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”San Jose, CA is one of 2016’s top multifamily #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Pittsburgh, PA | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Industrial

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Industrial Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Industrial Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Industrial Market to Watch: Pittsburgh, PA

Pittsburgh - top industrial markets to watchThe Pittsburgh economy has more or less stabilized after the recession and massive losses to its manufacturing and steel production base. Today the unemployment rate sits at 5.5% as of January ‘16 but job creation is effectively flat at a literal 0.0% rate of growth. The industrial real estate market of Pittsburgh is highly influenced by oil and gas production as well as the steel industry, both of which have potential to see long-term losses. Key industrial sectors are losing jobs, including Manufacturing and Trade, Transportation, and Utilities which are declining at annualized rates of –3.4% and –0.4%, respectively. Thankfully, Pittsburgh is transforming itself into a more research and high-tech focused economy which should grow overall jobs and ultimately benefit the industrial sector. Further, this trend should cause more vacant industrial buildings to be repurposed and redeveloped, helping industrial landlords overall.

Advisor Insights: SVN | Three Rivers Commercial Advisors

SVN’s Pittsburgh-based Advisors at SVN | Three Rivers Commercial Advisors have some industrial market highlights to share. Here’s what to look out for in the Pittsburgh industrial market in 2016:

  • Vacancy rate is 6.2% and expected to stay the same or slight decrease
  • Rental Rate average is $5.74 / SF which is trending upwards and expected to stay the same or increase
  • Positive absorption expected for both flex and warehouse space

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top industrial markets, download the full version of the 2016 Industrial Market Outlook report here.

2016 Industrial Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Pittsburgh, PA is one of 2016’s top industrial #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Portland, OR | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Retail

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Retail Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Retail Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Retail Market to Watch: Portland, OR

Portland - top retail market to watchPortland has experienced surging new employment in 2015 that has brought the unemployment rate down to 4.7% as of January ‘16, while new jobs are being continually added at an annualized rate of 3.1%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This is due to a well-diversified economy and quality of life that will also fuel growth in Portland’s retail real estate market. Top sectors for growth include Information, Leisure and Hospitality, Education and Health Services, and Construction, all growing at annualized rates of 9.4%, 4.6%, 4.5%, and 3.9%, respectively. As the population continues to grow as it has done by 6.1% from 2010 to 2014, according the Census Bureau, there will be greater needs for all real estate including retail establishments in 2016 and beyond.

Advisor Insights: SVN | Bluestone & Hockley in Portland, OR

SVN’s Portland-based Advisors at SVN | Bluestone & Hockley have some retail market highlights to share. Here’s what to look out for in Portland’s retail market in 2016:

  • Increase in on-market for sale properties
  • Decline in available SF for lease
  • Gradual increase of retail lease rate

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top retail markets, download the full version of the 2016 Retail Market Outlook report here.

2016 Retail Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Portland, OR is one of 2016’s top retail #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Houston, TX | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Office

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Office Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Office Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Office Market to Watch: Houston, TX

Houston - top office market to watchHouston is the hub of oil and energy production in the United States and, as such, is uniquely susceptible to the recent oil price declines that appear to have near-term persistence. It is likely that the office market in Houston will experience some pain in 2016 and beyond on a relative basis. Declines are already being felt in key office sectors with Information and Professional and Business Services declining at -2.5% and -1.8% annualized rates, respectively; however, Financial Activities is growing at 2.0% and thus should balance some of the negative effects. Overall, the Houston economy is actually fairly healthy with a 4.8% unemployment rate as of January ‘16 which has stayed near constant for much of 2015; thus, fears of the oil price declines may be overblown.

Advisor Insights: SVN | HINT Advisors

SVN’s Houston-based Advisors at SVN | HINT Advisors have some office market highlights to share. Here’s what to look out for in the Houston office market in 2016:

  • A mild increase in office sublease due to a zero net job growth, following the thousands of jobs lost between December 2014 and April 2016.
  • Increase in concessions from landlords when leasing office space is ongoing.
  • Job losses appear to have stabilized with an unemployment rate at 4.8%, and a resurgence in the energy sector is expected in the future.
  • Due to Houston’s diverse economy in recession proof sectors such as healthcare, petrochemical, and international trade, employment (and demand for office space) is expected to continue.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top office markets, download the full version of the 2016 Office Market Outlook report here.

2016 Office Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Houston, TX is one of 2016’s top office #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Reno, NV | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Multifamily

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Multifamily Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Multifamily Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Multifamily Market to Watch: Reno, NV

Reno - top multifamily markets to watchReno is experiencing sustained gains in employment with a 4.4% annualized rate after being severely impacted by the past recession; unemployment has improved dramatically and now sits at a still relatively high 6.2% as of January ‘16, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Population has grown robustly with a 4.9% increase from 2010 to 2014, according to the Census Bureau. As is common with tourist market economies, the percentage of city housing used for rental purposes is high at 53% meaning that job growth will quickly mean growth for the multifamily sector. The city’s economy is rapidly diversifying with the biggest gains coming from Construction, Professional and Business Services, Financial Activities, and Education and Health Services with annualized growth rates of 9.6%, 9.5%, 5.2%, and 5.0%, respectively.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top multifamily markets, download the full version of the 2016 Multifamily Market Outlook report here.

2016 Multifamily Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Reno, NV is one of 2016’s top multifamily #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Memphis, TN | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Industrial

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Industrial Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Industrial Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Industrial Market to Watch: Memphis, TN

Memphis - top industrial market to watchThe Memphis economy has been slowly growing and recovering since the recession and stands today with 5.6% unemployment as of January ‘16, with modest annualized job gains of 1.7%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Its strongest industrial segment and in fact strongest employment segment overall is Trade, Transport, and Utilities, which is expanding at an annualized rate of 4.2%. Manufacturing is also adding jobs at 0.7%. Given that Memphis is located in the approximate population weighted center of the country, it is an ideal location to serve for e-commerce and other direct to consumer distribution businesses. Thus, the Memphis industrial market may be one of the largest benefactors of the rise of online shopping and will likely continue to expand in 2016 and beyond.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top industrial markets, download the full version of the 2016 Industrial Market Outlook report here.

2016 Industrial Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Memphis, TN is one of 2016’s top industrial #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

San Diego, CA | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Retail

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Retail Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Retail Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Retail Market to Watch: San Diego, CA

San Diego - top retail market to watchSan Diego has steadily grown since the recession with now record levels of employment that have brought the unemployment rate down to 4.7% in January ‘16, while new jobs continue to be added at an annualized rate of 2.8%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Population has also grown 6.1% from 2010 to 2014 according to the Census Bureau, as people choose San Diego for its high quality of life and climate. Its diverse economy from military and shipping to research and finance has allowed demand and fundamentals for retail real estate to grow with a trend that should persist through 2016 and beyond. The top sectors for job gains are Construction, Education and Health Services, Professional and Business Services, and Manufacturing, with annualized growth rates of 7.4%, 3.9%, 3.6%, and 3.4%, respectively.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top retail markets, download the full version of the 2016 Retail Market Outlook report here.

2016 Retail Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”San Diego, CA is one of 2016’s top retail #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Ft. Lauderdale | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Office

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Office Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Office Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Office Market to Watch: Ft. Lauderdale, FL

Ft. Lauderdale - top office market to watchFt. Lauderdale has experienced significant recovery from the recession but still remains below pre-recession peaks in both total employment and lows in the unemployment rate. Still, the economy is quite healthy with a 4.7% unemployment measure as of January ‘16, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. As part of a multi-metro region, Ft. Lauderdale offers relatively lower office rents and higher occupancies, as well as an overall lower regional cost of living (especially compared to Miami) and thus is a rational place to grow and expand a business. Key office sectors are displaying strength with Financial Activities, Professional and Business Services, and Information all markedly positive with annualized growth rates of 4.5%, 4.3%, and 2.1%, respectively. The office market of Ft. Lauderdale should perform well in 2016.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top office markets, download the full version of the 2016 Office Market Outlook report here.

2016 Office Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Ft. Lauderdale, FL is one of 2016’s top office #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Portland, OR | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Multifamily

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Multifamily Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Multifamily Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Multifamily Market to Watch: Portland, OR

Portland, OR - top multifamily market to watchPortland has experienced rapid employment growth in 2015, bringing the unemployment rate down to 4.7% as of January ‘16 while sustaining new job creation at a rate of 3.1%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Population in the city grew by 6.1% between 2010 and 2014 according to the Census Bureau who also reports that approximately 47% of the housing stock is used for rentals. Portland is a relatively high priced market for the nation but still affordable for a major West Coast metro with an excellent quality of life. Leading employment sectors include Information, Leisure and Hospitality, and Education and Health Services growing at 9.4%, 4.6%, and 4.5% respective annualized rates. These dynamics should lead to strong performance of the multifamily sector in 2016 and beyond with rents growing over 10% this year as new supply remains relatively moderate.

Advisor Insights: SVN | Bluestone & Hockley

SVN’s Portland-based Advisors at SVN | Bluestone & Hockley have some multifamily market highlights to share. Here’s what to look out for in Portland’s multifamily market in 2016:

  • More units coming online
  • Price leveling off
  • More outside of the market investors coming in

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top multifamily markets, download the full version of the 2016 Multifamily Market Outlook report here.

2016 Multifamily Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Portland, OR is one of 2016’s top multifamily #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Los Angeles, CA | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Industrial

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Industrial Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Industrial Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Industrial Market to Watch: Los Angeles, CA

Los Angeles - top industrial market to watchLos Angeles is one of the largest, most dynamic cities in the United States and its economy has fully recovered, with a normalized level of unemployment at 5.5% as of January ‘16 and annualized total employment growth of 2.3%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Its industrial space market is one of the best performing in the nation due to the growth in container and freight traffic from the port as well as inbound air cargo from Asia. The Trade, Transportation, and Utilities sector is growing at an annualized rate of 1.7%, meaning that further growth and expansion is possible. Of course, the reliance on trade could cause a contraction in the industrial sector with global pressures, but this is unlikely as much of the trade and distribution are import goods that will benefit from a strong US dollar.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top industrial markets, download the full version of the 2016 Industrial Market Outlook report here.

2016 Industrial Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Los Angeles, CA is one of 2016’s top industrial #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Orlando, FL | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Retail

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Retail Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Retail Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Retail Market to Watch: Orlando, FL

Orlando - top retail market to watchOrlando continues to be one of the fastest growing markets in the nation, fueled by record tourism and new business openings and relocations. Unemployment remains stable at 4.7% as new jobs are being created at a 4.9% annualized rate, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Population has also boomed by 9.9% from 2010 to 2014, according to the Census Bureau, creating the demand for more retail real estate. Top employment sectors include Construction, Professional and Business Services, Manufacturing, Educational and Health Services, and Leisure and Hospitality, with annualized growth rates of 14.5%, 8.6%, 7.3%, 4.6%, and 4.4%, respectively. This broad-based growth will enhance the health of the retail real estate sector in 2016 and beyond for both tourist-focused and resident-focused establishments.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top retail markets, download the full version of the 2016 Retail Market Outlook report here.

2016 Retail Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Orlando, FL is one of 2016’s top retail #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Denver, CO | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Office

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Office Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Office Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Office Market to Watch: Denver, CO

Denver - top office market to watchDenver remains one of the most rock-solid metropolitan economies in the nation with 3.0% unemployment in January ‘16, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, while maintaining steady, slow growth that has total employment at record highs. The office market is equally steady with a relatively low level of vacancy and fair asking rents. This stability and growth should persist in 2016 for the office sector as key employment groups – Financial Activities, Professional and Business Services, and Information – are all showing strong-to-decent annualized growth of 3.9%, 3.2%, and 1.8%, respectively. Denver maintains a diversified set of economic base activities including aerospace, bioscience, and energy, just to name a few. As such, the office market is likely to withstand any negative impacts of global uncertainty and oil price declines for the foreseeable future.

Advisor Insights: SVN | Denver Commercial

SVN Advisors at SVN | Denver Commercial have some office market highlights to share:

  • Over 2 million square feet of newly delivered space is coming on the market, temporarily inflating vacancy rates.
  • Energy industry impact on office vacancy is significant as energy prices stay at their low prices. Sublet opportunities are up, and many energy company offices have closed completely. Vacancy rates have risen to mid-to-high teens.
  • Mixed use, co-work spaces continue to flourish, especially in the burgeoning CBD area. Conversion and re-purposing of old warehouses and factories is prevalent in the market.
  • Denver is creating jobs, with over 45,000 new positions in the last twelve months. Demand for office should rise concurrently with the job creation trend. Denver has become a desirable 18 hour city that attracts top talent in many industries.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top office markets, download the full version of the 2016 Office Market Outlook report here.

2016 Office Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Denver, CO is one of 2016’s top office #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Phoenix, AZ | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Multifamily

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Multifamily Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Multifamily Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Multifamily Market to Watch: Phoenix, AZ

Phoenix - top multifamily market to watchPhoenix experienced significant gains in overall employment in 2015 that moved the number of jobs significantly above pre-recession peaks as unemployment fell to 4.6% in January ‘16 with continued annualized employment gains of 3.6%. The population grew by 6.2% from 2010 to 2014, according to the Census Bureau, helping to fuel new demand for apartment units. The city utilizes approximately 46% of its housing units as rentals and has relative affordability with high quality of life making the market a prime one to grow in 2016 and beyond, with rents expected to grow over 5% this year. The leading employment sectors are Information, Construction, Financial Activities, Education and Health Services, and Professional and Business Services, growing at annualized rates of 7.6%, 6.3%, 5.3%, 5.2%, and 5.1%, respectively.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top multifamily markets, download the full version of the 2016 Multifamily Market Outlook report here.

2016 Multifamily Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Phoenix, AZ is one of 2016’s top multifamily #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Knoxville, TN | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Industrial

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Industrial Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Industrial Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Industrial Market to Watch: Knoxville, TN

Knoxville - top industrial market to watchThe Knoxville economy is extremely steady given its diverse economic base and thus experienced relatively low effects of the recession. The city now has a 4.5% unemployment rate as of January ‘16, with overall employment growing at an annualized rate of 2.5%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The industrial sectors of Knoxville are all showing marked strength, including Manufacturing and Trade, Transport, and Utilities growing at annualized rates of 4.5% and 4.1%, respectively. Additionally, the Mining, Logging, and Construction sector is growing at a rapid 10.2% annualized rate, further fueling the market. The mix of defense, research, and industrial manufacturers gives Knoxville strong power to grow its industrial real estate in 2016 and beyond.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top industrial markets, download the full version of the 2016 Industrial Market Outlook report here.

2016 Industrial Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Knoxville, TN is one of 2016’s top industrial #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Nashville, TN | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Retail

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Retail Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Retail Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Retail Market to Watch: Nashville, TN

Nashville - top retail market to watchNashville’s economy continues to boom, as employment sets new record highs with continued 4.0% annualized growth that has brought the unemployment rate to a low of 3.7% as of January ‘16, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This corresponds with a 6.7% increase in population from 2010 to 2014, according to the Census Bureau. This growth is putting pressure on retail real estate as fundamentals improve in face of steady growth; a trend expected to persist in 2016 and beyond. The fastest growing employment sector is Mining, Logging, and Construction followed by Professional and Business Services, then Financial Activities and Information, with annualized growth rates of 9.4%, 8.7%, 4.5%, and 4.4%, respectively. This type of broad-based job growth is sure to boost all real estate sectors including retail.

Advisor Insights: SVN | The Genesis Group in Nashville, TN

SVN’s Nashville-based Advisors at SVN | The Genesis Group have some retail market highlights to share. Here’s what to look out for in Nashville’s retail market in 2016:

  • Strong demand for retail space
  • Declining vacancy
  • High rents
  • Competition for space
  • Very little inventory

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top retail markets, download the full version of the 2016 Retail Market Outlook report here.

2016 Retail Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Nashville, TN is one of 2016’s top retail #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Dallas, TX | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Office

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Office Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Office Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Office Market to Watch: Dallas, TX

Dallas - top office market to watchDallas remains one of the fastest growing employment centers in the nation, even with the energy price declines of 2015. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the unemployment rate sits near record lows at 3.8% as of January ‘16, with the city creating over a half million new jobs since the recession. The office markets have fared well, as key office sectors of Financial Activities and Professional and Business Services have grown at strong annualized rates of 4.8% and 2.3%, respectively. Information has remained fairly flat at 0.4% annualized growth. As Dallas has become a modern international city with the help of the DFW airport, it is perhaps the best positioned market in the oil-producing region of the U.S. to weather any pain from the petroleum industry. The office market should remain stable and growing in 2016 and beyond.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top office markets, download the full version of the 2016 Office Market Outlook report here.

2016 Office Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Dallas, TX is one of 2016’s top office #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Philadelphia, PA | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Multifamily

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Multifamily Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Multifamily Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Multifamily Market to Watch: Philadelphia, PA

Philadelphia - top multifamily market to watchJob growth in Philadelphia has brought the city back above pre-recession employment levels as unemployment stays steady at 4.8% as of January ‘16 with modest annualized employment growth of 2.1%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Population growth has been below the national average as the city only gained 2.2% from 2010 to 2014, according to the Census Bureau. Accordingly, demand for new apartment units is modest compared to other metros of similar size; yet the city does have a relatively high use of housing units as rentals at approximately 47%. Philadelphia does have an advantage in affordability, especially compared with other East Coast metros, and thus has growth potential with rents forecast to grow by over 3% in 2016. The city’s top sectors for job growth include Mining, Logging, and Construction as well as Professional and Business Services where are expanding at annualized rates of 8.2% and 3.7%, respectively.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top multifamily markets, download the full version of the 2016 Multifamily Market Outlook report here.

2016 Multifamily Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Philadelphia, PA is one of 2016’s top multifamily #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Greenville-Spartanburg, SC | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Industrial

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Industrial Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Industrial Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Industrial Market to Watch: Greenville-Spartanburg

Greenville-Spartanburg - top industrial market to watchThe Greenville-Spartanburg region has experienced significant gains in its labor force, and overall employment is growing at a 2.6% annualized rate with unemployment holding steady at 4.9%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Key industrial sectors of Trade, Transport, and Utilities and Manufacturing are growing at annualized rates of 2.6% and 1.3%, respectively, setting up the industrial market for gains in 2016 and beyond. As South Carolina is well located for distribution in the Southeast, connected to ports, and unfriendly to labor unions, it is likely to continue to see expansion in its industrial sectors including those of Greenville-Spartanburg. Low cost of living and operating costs also serve to boost overall business development.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top industrial markets, download the full version of the 2016 Industrial Market Outlook report here.

2016 Industrial Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Greenville-Spartanburg, SC is one of 2016’s top industrial #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Miami, FL | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Retail

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Retail Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Retail Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Retail Market to Watch: Miami, FL

Miami - top retail market to watchAfter facing a deep real estate and economic recession, Miami has fully recovered, has more employment than ever, and continues to grow at a 2.9% annualized pace, while unemployment remains stable at 5.2% as of January ‘16, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This growth has been led by a new construction boom fed by foreign investment that has construction jobs growing at a 10.5% annualized rate, making it the far and away fastest growing sector. Population has also grown by 7.8% from 2010 to 2015, according to the Census Bureau, and is expected to continue growing, fueling the need for more retail development. Miami’s joint tourism, retirement, and business growth should force rental rates up and vacancies down in the retail real estate sector for 2016 and beyond.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top retail markets, download the full version of the 2016 Retail Market Outlook report here.

2016 Retail Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Miami, FL is one of 2016’s top retail #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Charlotte, NC | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Multifamily

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Multifamily Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Multifamily Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Multifamily Market to Watch: Charlotte, NC

Charlotte - top multifamily market to watchThe multifamily market in Charlotte has experienced strong growth in demand as the city has gained 10.1% in population from 2010 to 2014, according to the Census Bureau. This has been fueled by significant job growth that has set new records substantially above pre-recession peaks, leading the present unemployment rate to sit at 5.3% as of January ‘16 with new job creation occurring at an annualized rate of 2.8%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Approximately 45% of the city’s housing stock is renter occupied. Thus, a good deal of the new population is likely to demand an apartment. Further, gross rents are below national averages, making Charlotte affordable and capable of seeing meaningful rent growth. New supply has grown approximately 4% in 2015 which will lower rent growth slightly in 2016, but still likely to be robust and above 4%. Many sectors are adding jobs at annualized rates above 4%, including Financial Activities, Professional and Business Services, and Leisure and Hospitality. However, this city does face a unique risk to continued growth from the new “bathroom” law, perceived very negatively by many; this could jeopardize new job growth and thus the market if firms choose to relocate or otherwise curtail operations in the state.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top multifamily markets, download the full version of the 2016 Multifamily Market Outlook report here.

2016 Multifamily Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Charlotte, NC is one of 2016’s top multifamily #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Dallas, TX | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Industrial

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Industrial Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Industrial Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Industrial Market to Watch: Dallas, TX

Dallas - top industrial market to watchThe Dallas economy remains one of the strongest of the major metros in the nation with unemployment at 3.8% as of January ‘16 and steadily rising total employment at a 3.4% annualized rate, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The fastest growing sector of employment in Dallas is an industrial space using Trade, Transport, and Utilities, which is growing at an annualized rate of 5.2%. This is the sector, where most of the 2016 and beyond gains in the industrial space market will be generated. Dallas has unparalleled airport and rail access making it an ideal business and distribution hub. In fact, the area surrounding the DFW airport is best poised to expand. Manufacturing is the weakest sector declining at a –1.6% annualized rate. This sector touches oil and gas production and exploration, and is thus most at risk for declines in 2016 and beyond.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top industrial markets, download the full version of the 2016 Industrial Market Outlook report here.

2016 Industrial Market Outlook

[bctt tweet=”Dallas, TX is one of 2016’s top industrial #CRE markets to watch.” username=”svnic”]

Las Vegas, NV | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Retail

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Retail Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Retail Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Retail Market to Watch: Las Vegas, NV

Las Vegas - top retail market to watchAs tourism growth has once again led Las Vegas to new heights in overall employment, the unemployment rate is still falling as it sits at 6.5% as of January ‘16 while jobs are being added at a 2.5% annualized rate, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Construction is the fastest growing employment sector at an 11.0% annualized rate followed by Education and Health Services at 8.1%. Las Vegas took a pause in population growth due to the recession but the pace is likely to grow in 2016 and beyond; still, the city grew by 5.0% from 2010 to 2014, according to the Census Bureau. Growth in tourism will spur the need for tourist-focused retail in popular locations like The Strip; however, overall growth will also increase demand for retail to service the local population. Over time, Las Vegas is likely to diversify from tourism and become a more balanced economy.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top retail markets, download the full version of the 2016 Retail Market Outlook report here.

2016 Retail Market Outlook

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Cincinnati, OH | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Office

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Office Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Office Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Office Market to Watch: Cincinnati, OH

Cincinnati - top office market to watchCincinnati’s economy is still struggling to find a consistent growth trend as unemployment started the new year at 5.2%, up from 3.9% in August of ‘15, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Positive signs for the office market can be seen in Financial Activities and Information, which are growing at annualized rates of 3.6% and 2.2%, respectively; however the key office-using sector of Professional and Business Services is losing ground with –1.6% growth. Overall, the run of consolidations in industries such as banking, legal firms, etc. has still left Cincinnati with relatively high vacancies and lower lease rates. As the national economy grows, these relative pricing advantages should position Cincinnati to gain new tenants and users looking to locate in the region.

Advisor Insights: SVN | Commercial Realty Advisors, Inc.

SVN’s Cincinnati-based Advisors at SVN | Commercial Realty Advisors, Inc. have some office market highlights to share. Here’s what to look out for in the Cincinnati office market in 2016:

  • Continued rise in absorption
  • Declining vacancy rate
  • Continued recovery and stabilization

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top office markets, download the full version of the 2016 Office Market Outlook report here.

2016 Office Market Outlook

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Denver, CO | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Multifamily

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Multifamily Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Multifamily Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Multifamily Market to Watch: Denver, CO

Denver - top multifamily market to watchThe Denver multifamily market has experienced significant additions of new supply as its population has grown 10.6% from 2010 to 2014, according to the Census Bureau. Further, the employment market is outstanding with 3.0% unemployment as of January ‘16 and annualized job growth of 2.5%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Denver features a larger renter population with approximately 50% of its metro’s housing units used for rental purposes; still rental rates are relatively affordable for a metro of its size, giving it room to grow. Top sectors for employment growth include Leisure and Hospitality, Financial Activities, Manufacturing, and Professional and Business Services growing at annualized rates of 6.0%, 3.9%, 3.5%, and 3.2%, respectively. As such, rent growth could hit 7% in 2016.

Advisor Insights: SVN | Denver Commercial

SVN’s Advisors at SVN | Denver Commercial have some multifamily market highlights to share. Here’s what to look out for in Denver’s multifamily market in 2016:

  • As population grows, (over 100,000 additional people since 2014), demand grows likewise for multifamily.
  • Household formation is growing with a younger demographic makeup in Denver. The CBD area alone now is housing a population of 90,000 residents, mostly in multifamily buildings.
  • Rents have risen significantly over the past few years but are now reaching affordability limits.
  • Renters are demanding fully amenitized properties when higher rents are asked by landlords.
  • Expect to see more micro-apartments to address affordability issues, especially in the CBD area.
  • Vacancy rates are now approaching more “normalized” conditions of 5-7%, versus virtually nil in the last couple years. This is due to increased delivery of new apartment units to the region, somewhat outpacing demand.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top multifamily markets, download the full version of the 2016 Multifamily Market Outlook report here.

2016 Multifamily Market Outlook

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Charlotte, NC | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Retail

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Retail Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Retail Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Retail Market to Watch: Charlotte, NC

Charlotte - top retail market to watchCharlotte has expanded its employment base steadily since the recession bottomed in 2010 and currently has a relatively low 5.3% unemployment rate, as of January ‘16, and 2.8% annualized growth of new jobs, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The region has also grown population by 10.1% from 2010 to 2014 according to the Census Bureau, making it prime for expansion and development of retail real estate. Major growing employment segments include Mining, Logging, and Construction, Financial Activities, and Leisure and Hospitality with 6.4%, 4.8%, and 4.6% annualized growth, respectively. As Charlotte continues to be a popular place to work and live, more firms are likely to enter the market, including those seeking to establish corporate headquarters. Despite these positive forces, North Carolina’s recently enacted “bathroom law” threatens to reverse economic growth as businesses and consumers look elsewhere to avoid the perceived discriminatory law; this could cause pain to the retail sector for the rest of 2016 and beyond if not fixed.

Advisor Insights: SVN | Percival Partners in Charlotte, NC

SVN’s Charlotte-based Advisors at SVN | Percival Partners have some retail market highlights to share. Here’s what to look out for in Charlotte’s retail market in 2016:

  • Increasing property values
  • Ongoing new development of grocery anchored centers
  • New grocery stores entering the market
  • Target will start expanding again
  • Continue to see high demand for investment properties

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top retail markets, download the full version of the 2016 Retail Market Outlook report here.

2016 Retail Market Outlook

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Atlanta, GA | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Office

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Office Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Office Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Office Market to Watch: Atlanta, GA

Screen Shot 2016-07-26 at 4.09.42 PMAtlanta has experienced strong gains in total employment and is setting record highs as of January ‘16, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, with unemployment at 5.2% and new job creation at an annualized rate of 3.5%. This includes growth in key office-using sectors including Professional and Business Services, Financial Activities, and Education and Health Services, which grew at annualized rates 5.0%, 2.0%, and 1.8%, respectively. In addition, Construction employment is growing at a 7.4% annualized rate, indicating further overall economic growth is projected to occur in Atlanta in 2016 and beyond. According to Georgia Trend, many high impact industries are likely to accelerate growth in Atlanta including life sciences and technology. These forces should cause rising rental rates and falling vacancies in the metro region, with downtown/midtown potentially poised to gain in the overall trend of urbanization affecting cities such as Atlanta.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top office markets, download the full version of the 2016 Office Market Outlook report here.

2016 Office Market Outlook

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Boston, MA | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Multifamily

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Multifamily Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Multifamily Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Multifamily Market to Watch: Boston, MA

Boston top multifamily marketBoston’s economy has experienced significant job growth such that its unemployment rate is now 4.0% as of January ‘16 and new jobs are being created at a 1.4% annualized rate, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Further, population has grown 6.2% from 2010 to 2014, according to the Census Bureau, and has thus significantly increased the demand for rental housing in the metropolitan region. Bostonians are highly predisposed to renting as over 65% of the housing units in the city are rentals according to Census data; thus prolonged population and job growth will place great pressure on rents which could grow over 6% in 2016 and keep occupancies above 97% while new supply is likely to remain less than 2% . The top sectors for job growth include Financial Activities and Education and Health Services which are growing at 3.1% and 2.9% annualized rates, respectively.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top multifamily markets, download the full version of the 2016 Multifamily Market Outlook report here.

2016 Multifamily Market Outlook

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Albuquerque, NM | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Industrial

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Industrial Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Industrial Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Industrial Market to Watch: Albuquerque, NM

Albuquerque top industrial marketAlbuquerque’s overall economy has remained fairly stable with a slowly falling, above national average level of unemployment at 5.8% as of January ‘16, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Key industrial sectors have been losing employees and thus may threaten to soften the industrial space market; these include Manufacturing and Trade, Transportation, and Utilities which are contracting at –2.5% and –0.9% annualized rates, respectively. As much of the economic and industrial base of Albuquerque centers on high tech, research, defense, and other manufacturing, the industrial sector should remain very stable on a relative basis. Given low levels of new supply, growth in fundamentals could also occur in 2016 as the market is not over-supplied.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top industrial markets, download the full version of the 2016 Industrial Market Outlook report here.

2016 Industrial Market Outlook

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Austin, TX | 2016 Top #CRE Markets to Watch: Retail

SVNIC’s 2016 Market Outlook Reports assess the current state of the national commercial real estate market, and identify micro-trends within specific geographic regions and industries for 2016. Today we are delving into the 2016 Top Retail Markets to Watch. Not the largest or the most actively contested markets, the 2016 Retail Markets to Watch are each at an important juncture that presents unique opportunities for investment. Together, they reflect the diversity of trends that is driving the economy and commercial real estate performance in markets across the country.

Top Retail Market to Watch: Austin, TX

Austin - top retail market to watchRetail real estate should perform well in Austin in 2016 and beyond, as this dynamic economy continues to grow and diversify. According to the Census Bureau, the population of Austin has grown 12.5% from 2010 to 2014. Not surprisingly, the economy looks stellar with a 3.2% unemployment rate as of January ‘16 and jobs are growing at 4.7% annually, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The best sectors for job growth are Mining, Logging, and Construction and Leisure and Hospitality, growing at 11.0% and 9.2% annualized rates, respectively. These forces will keep new residents locating in the metro region and businesses expanding. Retail demand will follow the population and should continue expanding in 2016 with ever-increasing fundamentals.

Advisor Insights: SVN | Tamarack in Austin, TX

SVN’s Austin-based Advisors at SVN | Tamarack have some retail market highlights to share:

Gateway Cities like Austin continue to benefit from diverse job creation ranging from service jobs to higher-end STEM (science, technology, engineering and math). It remains an attractive place to live for all generations. Due to the continued numbers of people moving to Austin all property types are attractive but retail properties will continue to be the most favorable investment type.

Austin has a tight market for space so we will see most new construction in sub-markets of Austin such as Lakeway, Leander and Cedar Park.

  • With average rental rates averaging $20 – $23.50 per square foot, rates are expected to increase by more than 4% by the end of 2016.
  • Values in the retail market are expected to increase by 2% – 3.9% by year end.
  • Absorption has been positive for the previous five years and is expected to increase to an estimated 350,000 square feet within 2016. With slightly more than 300,000 square feet of retail space expected to be constructed by the end of 2016 the occupancy rate will also increase above its current 94% rate. Retail properties that are under construction, planned and proposed represent a 3% growth to the current Austin market.
  • Cap rates are currently 6.8% – 7% and are expected to stay relatively flat for the next 6 months.

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

To read more on other top retail markets, download the full version of the 2016 Retail Market Outlook report here.

2016 Retail Market Outlook

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SVN Releases 2016 CRE Market Outlook Reports

New Updates on Trends in Top Markets

This week SVN released the 2016 Market Outlook Reports as a way to update the CRE industry on current trends. Teaming up with the Lakemont Group, Real Capital Analytics, and REIS, SVN put together reports detailing today’s economic conditions and how they impact commercial real estate. These reports also highlight top markets to watch across the U.S., citing cities such as Chicago and Atlanta that CRE professionals should keep an eye on. Broken up into four major asset classes – industrial, multifamily, office, and retail – these reports provide useful insights as we head into the second half of 2016.

Highlights from Each Report Include:

Industrial

Chicago Market Outlook Reports
Chicago, IL
  • Global pressures weigh on growth
  • Net absorption strong as vacancy falls
  • Fundamentals improve for all industrial sectors
  • Demand growth persists
  • Yield seeking investors discover industrial properties
  • Warehouse is the storefront of tomorrow

Multifamily

  • New supply meeting demand
  • Rent growth fuels supply expansion
  • Class ‘A’ leads in rent growth, ‘B/C’ in occupancy
  • Record households and jobs increase demand growth
  • Low cap rates engender price risk fears
  • Baby Boomers may form next rental wave
Atlanta Market Outlook Reports
Atlanta, GA

Office

  • Slow growth and steady gains
  • Record rents amidst still high vacancies
  • ‘B/C’ holds steady while ‘A’ gains
  • Domestic strength and global uncertainty
  • Wide spreads indicate low risk
  • Return of the private office is possible

Retail

  • Discovering a new normal
  • High vacancies restrict the need for new supply
  • Neighborhood centers make gains on power centers
  • Consumer segment continues to grow
  • Opportunities for mispriced assets exist
  • Housing reconstruction to spur retail demand

Stay Updated…

Over the next few weeks, the SVN Blog will be featuring posts that will focus on each of the top markets to watch for industrial, multifamily, office, and retail properties. SVN Advisors from selected top markets have provided their industry expertise regarding what to look out for in their specific market in the coming months. Don’t miss out on these important insights – subscribe to the SVN Blog on the right side of the blog homepage.

 

CRE Market Outlook

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2016 Commercial Real Estate Market Outlook

As we progress through the start of a new year, I am pleased to share my thoughts on the robust 12 months past and to offer my outlook for the commercial real estate market in 2016. Before I do, I would be remiss if I did not thank the SVN Advisors, staff, and fellow brokers for their contributions to driving our market forward in spite of changing times. I know that I speak for all SVN Advisors and staff when I wish you a prosperous year ahead.

The Year Ahead in the Commercial Real Estate Market

Uncertainty Breeding Opportunity

After several years of increasing domestic economic expansion and an ever-recovering and ever-growing real estate market, 2016 opens with the return of global economic uncertainty as China’s economic growth moderates, energy prices decline significantly, and geopolitical threats such as ISIS, pose a consistent threat to Europe and the rest of the world. While it remains unclear how today’s macroeconomic conditions will impact commercial real estate markets, there are two scenarios. The first is that global market weakness will impact domestic financial markets, the second is that market impacts remain moderate and commercial real estate remains stable and continues to grow due to strengths in core fundamentals. We believe that the second scenario is more probable given the unique opportunities being posed by forces – like demographic shifts – that are proceeding independently of macroeconomic trends.

Manhattan - commercial real estate market
Manhattan, NY

As for the commercial real estate markets themselves, 2015 was an amazing year. Real Capital Analytics reported a total of $533 billion in sales representing a 23% gain over 2014, and the second highest level of investment volume over time behind the peak $573 billion in activity seen in 2007. Further, the Moody’s/RCA CPPI has given an initial estimate of 12% year over year price appreciation in 2015. These trends are more likely than not to persist throughout 2016 for several reasons. First, global pressures will have two effects:  One, keeping interest rates low (despite the best intentions of the Federal Reserve) and keeping foreign money flowing to the United States, a decent amount of which will flow to real estate. Second, fundamentals are strong – in fact, many markets in almost all property type segments experienced rising lease rates and falling occupancies for most of 2015 and are forecast to continue such growth. Third, new supply remains balanced with demand growth and thus oversupply seems unlikely. The lack of increasing new supply given the growth of rental rates amidst falling vacancies can largely be attributed to rising construction costs and relatively tight lending standards for new development.

What happens in the broader United States macro economy is far more difficult to predict. First, the decline in oil and energy prices is absolutely going to cause highly localized and specific harm to those sectors and in turn cause some level of harm to the real estate markets dependent on energy production, such as those in Texas and the Midwest. Historically, oil price declines acted like a tax break or stimulus package for consumers and businesses and the overall economy thus prospered; since the United States has significantly increased its production of oil and energy following the pre-recession oil price spikes, the effect is less certain today. High price markets like those found in the Northeast and California and parts of Florida are likely to benefit the most from energy price declines as it lowers transit and utilities costs and could boost employment via the stimulus effect.

Overall, we expect that the United States economy will grow more slowly in 2016 than 2015 while still remaining positive and thus avoiding recession. Therefore, we do not see any major risks to the commercial real estate markets as long as fundamentals remain relatively strong.

Investment Outlook

commercial real estate market - chicago
Chicago, IL

Commercial real estate investors who made acquisitions during the downturn are now reaping the benefits of taking such risks. Despite, or in fact, because of these significant gains, many investors and market participants are now openly opining on the possibility of a new downturn in the real estate asset cycle. We do not find such arguments to be very compelling for several reasons. First, many of the causal conditions present before the 2008 economic turmoil are not present in 2016 and are not likely to appear in the near-term horizon. The most meaningful indicator of a potential bubble or overpricing of commercial real estate is the spread between cap rates and underlying treasury rates. According to RCA, cap rates averaged 6.5% nationwide during 2015, while the 10-year treasury rate averaged in the low 2% range for most of 2015 and early 2016. This implies a spread of over 4% (or 400 basis points). Today’s spreads are significantly higher than those observed pre-crash where they averaged slightly below 200 basis points and even below 100 basis points for class A assets in top markets according to the commercial real estate economics researchers at the Lakemont Group. In summary, the market is not presenting the same risk/return profile observed before the 2007 peak of pricing. Further, debt availability is far more constrained post crisis with total leverage utilization down significantly (in fact, the percentage of all equity transactions in many markets is staggering) and therefore the risk of default is relatively low for most investors and deals. Thus, we believe pricing in commercial real estate markets does not represent a new bubble or other significant source of risk.

This conclusion is further strengthened by our belief that interest rates will not experience significant upward pressure in 2016. The energy sector declines and overall global pressures will likely start impacting GDP and employment statistics by the end of the first quarter of 2016.  The likely result will be the Federal Reserve slowing or even pausing further rate increases in 2016. Debt markets should remain open and active in 2016 as they did in 2015. If debt costs do not rise and fundamentals remain stable or growing (even if at slower rates than in 2015), it is not logical to expect price declines. In fact, we expect modest price appreciation for most markets.

Top Markets for Property Sales in 2015

(Ranked in terms of total dollar volume)

  1. Manhattan – $55.9B
  2. Los Angeles -$27.6B
  3. Chicago – $22.6B
  4. Dallas – $19.5B
  5. Atlanta – $16.9B
  6. Boston – $16.4B
  7. Seattle – $14.9B
  8. San Francisco – $14.3B
  9. San Jose – $12.5B
  10. Phoenix – $12.1B
Source: Real Capital Analytics

The list of top markets for commercial real estate sales in 2015 appears relatively similar to lists for the past 5 years with the new additions of Phoenix and San Jose. These markets attract institutional capital from private equity, REITs, and foreign buyers and have been the most competitive to find deals, especially with attractive yields. Overall, given the increasing level of global macroeconomic uncertainty, we expect these and related top tier markets to gather an increasing share of commercial real estate investment activity in 2016 as money moves to areas of perceived lowest risk.

Top Growth Markets for Property Sales in 2015

(Ranked in terms of YOY percentage increase in sales volume)

  1. DC/Virginia Burbs – 121%
  2. Baltimore – 71%
  3. Orange County – 70%
  4. Northern New Jersey – 69%
  5. Seattle – 68%
  6. Orlando – 68%
  7. Portland – 61%
  8. Central California – 60%
  9. Inland Empire – 58%
  10. Phoenix – 54%
Source: Real Capital Analytics

The above list of markets may present some of the best opportunities for growth and price appreciation given their relative strength. Capital is starting to rotate to these markets and further price increases may potentially follow. There will likely be expansion in cap rate spreads between primary and secondary markets in 2016, especially if foreign capital flows increase as predicted and those funds seek assets predominantly in only the largest markets. Thus, yield-seeking investors will likely find the best opportunities in the non-top tier markets (such as most of those on the list above).

Miami - commercial real estate market
Miami, FL

Beyond market, property sector is equally important in terms of forecasting investment performance. According to RCA, the apartment sector has been the top performer, up 38% from the peak (defined as Q4 ’07), followed by office, up 18% from the peak. Retail and industrial have lagged at -1% from peak and up 3% from peak respectively but performed well in recent years. We find it impractical to give overall guidance for property sectors on a nationwide basis and encourage investors to work with Advisors who are knowledgeable about each sector in their respective market as finding the best performer can be challenging. Industrial properties offer a prime example of such quandaries – industrial real estate in energy markets should face decreased space demand as that sector contracts in 2016. By contrast, industrial distribution facilities in areas of high population growth (like Florida) may over-perform as retailers shift distribution from stores to warehouses as online sales continue to dominate.

Trends to Watch

Perhaps the most discussed trend in commercial real estate in recent years has been the Millennials, the age cohort who are changing work and living arrangements across the nation. A relatively less covered demographic trend of greater size and perhaps importance is the aging population. According to data from the U.S. Census Bureau and analyses by the Lakemont Group, the overall population in the United States is forecast to grow by 11.55% in the next 15 years while the population above the age of 75 is forecast to grow 69.21%. In fact, those over 75 years old will represent almost 10% of the population by 2030 (those above 65 will be over 20% as well). While many real estate market participants correctly use these statistics to justify the need for more senior housing, there are actually many other real estate  opportunities to service this growing segment of the population. Market rate apartments with features and locations this demographic wants, can use, and can afford is one such example. Properties to house medical services and activity retail is another. We encourage investors to think long-term when making acquisition, disposition, and asset management decisions. This is one long-term trend that could shape demand for many property types for decades into the future.

Concluding Thoughts

2016 has started with higher levels of volatility in United States equity markets as a result of justifiably significant fears of global economic pressures causing falling demand domestically. While some investors are taking a fearful stance, we see a different outcome. It is probable that global uncertainty will serve to keep interest rates low and allow for growth of fundamentals in the commercial real estate markets and in the broader domestic economy. Furthermore, even in the event of a domestic economic slowdown, the global uncertainty could lead to lower interest rates and even greater inflows of foreign capital, supporting the domestic commercial real estate market (the current risk / reward proposition of U.S. investment is unbeatable).

Commercial Real Estate Market - Los Angeles
Los Angeles, CA

If such occurs, it is likely for 2016 to be another strong year for commercial real estate transaction volume, net operating income growth, and even price appreciation; however, expect all to grow at a slower rate in 2016 than in 2015. Investors and property owners should be aware that today’s commercial real estate economy has little in common with previous downturns. As such, we believe that the risk and return profile of commercial real estate is still attractive in 2016 and is likely to remain so for at least the near-term horizon.

 


Follow Kevin Maggiacomo on Twitter: @Maggiacomo.

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